Parmy Olson: OpenAI can’t have its money both ways
Sam Altman s reputation for spin was out in full force this week in a published letter to employees announcing that he was abandoning plans to turn OpenAI into a for-profit company Instead it will continue to be overseen and controlled by its nonprofit board Hooray for humans you might think since that board has a unique fiduciary duty to all people with a mission to advance digital intelligence in the way that is majority of likely to benefit humanity as a whole But his investors may be cheering the bulk as OpenAI also appears to be removing its x cap on profits In a Monday blog post the company stated Instead of our current complex capped-profit structure which made sense when it looked like there might be one dominant AGI effort but doesn t in a world of various great AGI companies we are moving to a normal capital structure where everyone has stock This is not a sale but a change of structure to something simpler A normal capital structure almost certainly refers to one where investors can get unlimited returns This is the promise that drives so a great number of of the big swings in Silicon Valley If OpenAI could one day become a trillion-dollar company to rival the Magnificent Seven then its investors certainly won t want their returns capped at x The company s latest valuation of billion may well put particular of its earliest investors within throwing distance of that limit They ll want to echo the success of other venture capital investors who hit the jackpot in the past like Lightspeed Ventures Partners who saw their million early outlay in Snap Inc grow to billion a x return when the social media company went citizens in OpenAI has long been aiming to build artificial general intelligence AGI a theoretical threshold where AI can surpass humans in their ability to show generalized intelligence and Altman has noted that will create trillions of dollars of new wealth for the world and presumably for the company too One investor who has embraced that vision is Softbank Group Corp Chief Executive Officer Masayoshi Son whose late entrance to OpenAI in March at a high valuation makes it harder to see him getting a x return on the billion he s investing in the company Yet Son whose ambitions rank among the bulk galactic of tech billionaires is likely holding hope for magnificent returns In an interview with Bloomberg Television late last year Son announced that four companies the new GAFA were going to produce trillion-dollar profits from AI and he longed to be one of them Early investors like Khosla Ventures Infosys Ltd and Peter Thiel stand to benefit even more from the lifted cap if OpenAI can significantly grow its profit Microsoft Corp one of OpenAI s earliest and biggest investors has yet to give its blessing to OpenAI s restructuring plans but would be an obvious beneficiary too Not once did Altman mention Elon Musk in his letter but OpenAI s estranged billionaire co-founder was undeniably a background force in Altman s decision Musk has sued OpenAI over its transition away from being a nonprofit which he originally named with Altman to act as a counterweight to DeepMind which he feared was building AGI that would be controlled by Google and to carry out independent AI research for the society good Lately a judge rejected Musk s request to stop OpenAI from becoming a for-profit but also allowed other parts of his lawsuit to go ahead OpenAI has announced that Musk who tried to buy OpenAI earlier this year for billion was trying to slow its progress in order to benefit his own startup xAI Musk s lead lawyer in the suit called OpenAI s latest announcement a transparent dodge that skirted around the core issue of transferring charitable assets for the benefit of private persons since OpenAI s original benefactors made donations and not investments into the company Musk may have been motivated by hubris but he s also right Altman s company has stepped away from its original nonprofit mission first by proposing to restructure as capped-profit company and now by lifting the cap on investors so that it is far more incentivized to maximize profits There s nothing wrong with the latter but there is something distasteful about pursuing it under the guise of being a nonprofit organization It will surely be much harder now to prioritize benefitting all of humanity over shareholder returns There s every reason now for OpenAI under the pressure of investor expectations to deploy AI systems more hurriedly and without the due caution for safety precaution and fairness that such mechanism deserves Altman has changed the lipstick but the pig looks the same Parmy Olson is a Bloomberg Opinion columnist covering hardware A former reporter for the Wall Street Journal and Forbes she is author of Supremacy AI ChatGPT and the Race That Will Change the World
